Marty Mitchell

pollinator
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since Dec 08, 2013
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kids monies forest garden fish chicken homestead
Elizabeth City, North Carolina - Zone 8a - Humid
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Recent posts by Marty Mitchell

Speaking about the Citrus. How did it hold up?


It was a pretty mild Winter over here on the coastal area of NC.
1 month ago

Trace Oswald wrote:

Marty Mitchell wrote:... it has been estimated that around 90% of the population would be dead within a year.  



I'm sorry for the challenges your family is having right now.  I work in an area that now has 5 verified positive cases, and it's concerning to say the least.

I'm curious about that 90% number.  Do you know how it was arrived at?  I can't even imagine it would be from starvation.  Maybe from lack of hospital care?  I just can't see any way 90% of the population dies from this.




It has been some years since I heard those numbers. I don't even remember where I read it at. I will have to do some searching around later and provide a link.

I am pretty sure it was due to mass food shortages/starvation/nobody knows how to grow food anymore nor store it for Winter, fighting, disease, lack of water, heat strokes/freezing to death, etc. combined. At this point it looks like we will get everyone back to work before that happens... which is a good thing.

I have some errands to do for a little while. I will do some searching around online in a bit and find you a link if I can.
2 months ago

Tj Jefferson wrote:L orinne, we have had (along with China and S Korea and Japan) very active sars vaccine development and medication development for years at ft Dietrich. None of them appear to work and I would estimate we spent around 100 million in the attempt. Other countries spent more. It has not been from lack of trying. Vaccines are tricky and we still have no vaccines that really work for the flu (it’s modestly effective in a good year). There’s a good target protein and I am hopeful for a vaccine but the virus can also shift and make it useless. Optimistic would be a year from now. The global economy  will not last that long.

In terms of transmission, I think ( but do not know) that low level initial infection probably promotes a milder course. Hand washing and masking should have been done long time. Intrafamily transmission in tight quarters is especially dangerous I believe, which is why the worst numbers will be in crowded urban areas.

Marty I am sorry for your wife’s presumptive exposure. It’s scary and I feel for her. I’ve had a few likely but no symptoms yet. More chances tomorrow! I have a family member with moderate symptoms we are monironing.



I wish you and your family luck! Thank you for your service by the way!!! Both on this forum and in real life...

Luckily we have a few expired masks for her to cycle through. Otherwise I am just going to try and convince her to help me out in the garden to make some vitamin D.

It is very scary indeed... and saddening at the same time. She keeps looking like she is about to cry. I can tell she wants to hug and kiss the little ones... then starts to tear up and walks back into the bedroom. She is feeling fine at the moment and just went for a run out in the countryside this morning. It will take up to 2 weeks to start showing them symptoms though sadly. Which is an insanely long time.

I have to call the boss today and tell them I have to stay at home to watch the kids and her now.
2 months ago
Good Day Everyone!

Due to the current situation of the Coronavirus outbreak I am going to have a LOT more free time. I have been using the extra time to make progress on my new homestead I am setting up for the family. However, I see a time in the future to where I will be catching up on things and be able to post up a great thread with lots of pics for everyone to scroll through.

We just bought our home on Coastal North Carolina in Zone 8A in August 2019. This house was a New Build and cheaper/smaller than the normal home for this neighborhood. As a plus... it was a blank slate for the most part. So I got to even choose the type of grass to plant into the mud hole yard... well... it was one at one time. lol The grass is starting to look decent already even with the hard clay.

We have 1.01 Acres with the back 30 feet or so being Pine forest with a good dozen blueberry bushes in the understory (I will soon be assisting for better production). The rest of the yard is essentially postage stamp shaped... with a 5 foot deep x 10 foot wide ditch that surrounds it. Creating a lovely swampy area/mud hole for the kids to play in a few days after each rain. Though... if times get REALLY tough... they would be easily converted into rice patties I suppose.

We Are in an HOA.
1) We are not allowed any livestock or poultry "used for commercial purposes".
2) No regs on bees or fish... or rabbits... or quail... etc... so that is fair game.
3) No regs on gardening or fruit trees either.

So, I basically just need to make it look nice... not smell... And I plan to make it very functional at the same time. After reading up on the regs I walked around the neighborhood. It looks to be a LAX HOA. I spotted soooo many houses out of regs. Things from fences, to trailers sitting the driveway, to "not allowed" dog breeds... are all here. And... it eases me to see that! lol

It does look like as long as you don't annoy your neighbor... they won't bring the HOA hammer down on you. Each resident is responsible for reporting HOA violations. So I need to make friends!

Any permanent structures ranging from a concrete pad on up must have permission first... and if a shed... must match the house siding and shingles. lol

I have made SIGNIGICANT progress already in my short stay here. I will begin posting up pics and such in the following posts.

Did you know that you can (allegedly) feed a family of 4 on just 1/4 of an acre? If that is possible anywhere... it would be in my area. Every inch of the yard is usable (deep soil and flat). We get around 46 inches of rain a year... and it is not too hot or too cold... though it can get pretty hot some years.

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2 months ago

Lorinne Anderson wrote:

Being short sighted or focused on the economy at this time, I fear, will become a horrible chapter in history, that will never be forgotten.




I agree that society needs to step up their quarantine game. It will slow the spread and thus decrease the death rate. I still think it will be way worse than the 100k to 240k deaths in the U.S. that they are estimating to have pulled the curve back down to. If everyone gets it in the U.S. and say 3.4% of us don't make it (but the system does not get too overrun) that would be around 11.2 million deaths. Anything less than that is good. If they keep it below 1 million it would be amazing.

However, I can completely understand why Trump is freaking out about the economy crashing too far. If it fully fails (to the point of no return)... it has been estimated that around 90% of the population would be dead within a year. A bit worse than the plague I would say! Worse case... what I see coming right now... is Great Depression level of economic collapse. I am pretty sure un-employment claims have already almost climbed to those levels.

Soon folks who cannot afford to buy food or pay bills... or can't go to work due to being sick... will start food rioting in certain areas like larger cities. Unless they have a plan in the works to get food into people's hands.

I assume that it is unstoppable at this point and that everything the talking heads on TV are telling us is just to keep everyone from panicking. So I am peacefully stocking up on dry foods when I can afford. Same for other supplies. Just put in a new small garden for fresh produce (few months away). I am also building a chicken coop for the new chickens.

Planning a little further out as well. Getting the mower into tip-top shape. If I can get it running right.... I will buy a bagger for it. Then I will use my 1 acre of grass/clover lawn mix to make hay. I will dry the hay on a tarp in the driveway and then store. The hay will be used for some Ruth-Stout gardening, mulch/fertilizer around the fruit trees I just put into the ground, the chickens, other animals in the future (If things get that bad). Luckily we just installed a fresh 5' fence around the back of the house. Leaving most of the yard un-fenced back there. So I can have animals penned up near the house... but still have fresh hay to harvest and around half an acre for garden and fruit/etc.

All this being said... my wife likely got exposed by a co-worker at the hospital last night. They went from feeling perfectly normal to having heat sweats/chills in cycles and full body aches before the staff told them to go home. My wife was working directly next to them. Since my daughter has a systemic auto-immune disorder. I set up a quarantined portion of the house for the wife. Not going to work. However, perhaps it will minimalize the initial exposure we all get. Enabling our immune systems to build up before being overrun.

Apparently that makes a bit of a difference down the road as things progress in the body.
2 months ago
I would like to see the link as well.

I have a constant flow flood/drain system that usually cycles every 10 to 15min or so. My fish and plants seem like they are in heaven!

The fish have been spawning over and over in there.

I have an extremely low fish stocking density though. I make up for it by feeding the fish on auto-feeders 4 times a day. That way they are able to consume the required amount of food to feed the plants.

The feeders only have to be filled once a week.
2 months ago
I might be able to help you out. It took me a little while to figure them out... but bell siphons are incredibly reliable once properly set up.

I have had my bells set up for 2 years so far and not a single hiccup. By the way I set them, the plumbing, and the pump up... I am able to go a month without filling the sump tank.

The water level can drop 6 to 10 inches in there... and even with the water flow slowing... the bells still kick on every time without a hitch.

I have a pump set to constant flow. I maximized pump flow by doing a few things.

1st I modified the pump by removing the cover and hard-attached plumbing to it. This greatly increased flow... especially at a higher head height.

2nd I built a cage around the pump to keep large debris from clogging it since things like old leaves kept clogging it every few days and greatly effecting the flow. (siphons too) I found some water planter baskets that had smaller holes than the opening on the impeller for the pump. That way I knew any debris that gets in would flow through. I then punched a hole to route the plumbing through the cage and then zip-tied it shut around the pump. I have NEVER had to adjust my water flow OR clean the pump in the last two years. She has been solid as a rock!

3rd I ran the plumbing to the highest point it will go before doing the split to the different beds. I discovered that doing the split down low... and then raising the water at the different beds... would GREATLY increase the weight of water to lift. Which, cause water flow to drop significantly. Now my pump makes WAY MORE water flow than what is needed. Which enables me to create a pressurized system... which is More Reliable. I just close the ball valve to adjust the flow. When ever poop and uneaten food gets stuck in the gap in said ball valve... there is enough pressure to force it through.

After Doing These Things the water flow is now extremely constant. Which is very much needed.

Other than that... I used 1" stand pipes set to 1" below the top of the gravel. Ensuring they have the 90deg bend down below and are extremely vertical. The vertical part is EXTREMELY important. I learned the hard way... that a non-vertical pipe creates a much smaller operating window for the syphon.

For the Bell portion of the pipes. They have to be extremely stable with good water flow. So the entire bottom edge of the pipe is left flat and level to keep it from rocking as much as possible. Floating as you described is going to induce failure. So have the bell tall enough to not float. Other than that it can stick out of the water 20ft if you like. It will still work.

The gravel stand-off pipe just needs to provide good flow. Paying extra attention to the last bit towards the bottom. That way the bed will fully drain before the syphon breaks.


When setting the flow rate for the syphon. Always top off the sump tank to the max first. Making sure to leave room so that air is able to suck back up through the bottom drain pipes to break the syphon. Sounds weird... but it's needed.

Always set the water flow rate so that the syphon has a hard time breaking at the end. Since water flow will only slow down over time due to clogs or water level dropping in the sump tank... this will ensure that the bell syphon should keep working as long as possible.

If done right... a Bell Syphon has a massive operating window. Which is awesome. At first I was having issues until I figured it out. Let me know if I helped or can do a better job explaining any areas.
2 months ago

Tj Jefferson wrote:
Ask away.
 



Thank you for answering my questions!


I have one more question...


My wife insists that if either of us ends up needing ICU care that we will end up alone without having family allowed to come see us since the ICU will be a massive infectious area.

However, she stated that they WOULD allow us to visit our children if the same was to happen to them. Is this true???

I don't want them to be alone if that happens.

I would want me and the wife to take turns visiting and keep the other child at home. Maybe do a video chat so they can support each other.
3 months ago

Tj Jefferson wrote:Greetings all. I have struggled with how to be a resource on here for some time. I'm going to take a leap. The fact that people are engaged, reading responsible sources and seem to be making cogent arguments on here makes me feel its a good place to comment.

I know there are lots of people who have questions and I may have some input. Most people on here don't know what I do professionally, and frankly I prefer it- people either treat me as more important than I am or like a sellout, but I'm just a regular guy with a job, until pretty recently. Everything that follows is my opinion, and I strongly encourage people to make your own decisions. I'm just trying to give some data as I see it, especially from a Permie perspective. I really appreciate prior people who have given their professional expertise to me on here, and maybe I can be of imperfect service. I will try to be responsive but I am very busy and getting more so. I do think this is a mission I can undertake to hopefully help people with their anxiety over the situation.

I'm an anesthesiologist, which is a very exposed career field at this point. The exposure and illness rates are high in ER and downstream in the treatment pathway, especially in nurses. They need your assistance and prayers, and maybe some crowdsourcing is in order, there is no happy ending without community engagement. That means many of us have been following this for months (as you can see from my prior writings in January) and trying to learn from China, Italy and the PNW here as best as possible. We are all keen on seeing as few of you as possible because we don't have a ton of solutions. I am not trying to give "inside baseball" info, more trying to translate what I think we know to you guys as you desire. Again, the data is really really patchy, and there are smart people who will disagree with me on pretty much everything. I come from more of a precautionary principle perspective, but I would say I also think there is a confidence interval, and we have to be risk averse but not paralyzed. I will try to give citations for things that I can, but I would rather synthesize my thoughts and see what questions people have. I will be available today, I have some conference calls later but will try to at least write tidbits in response. Lord willing I will try to add what I can when I am off shift. I'm going to concentrate on things that are not readily available and noncontroversial, more like what extended family are asking me. hopefully practical stuff... I'm especially involved with ad hoc protection of EMS and can give some ideas. Not data driven, but based on my best guess. I don't trust anything from the WHO and the CDC is more about decreasing panic (which is fine) than giving out mitigation strategies.

Here are a couple links to give some ideas:
Reuse of N95- from the inventor

Waste Stream N95 equivilent masks

Ask away.
 



That is very kind of you to step up and let folks know you are here to answer questions they may have. Thank You!

Back when this all started I told my wife I still had some old/unused N95 masks in the garage and stated that I would just be re-using them over and over after sterilizing. She (a RN) started yelling at me saying that I could not do that. Now all nurses are doing that. I was just planning on hitting the masks with some bleach water, followed by a day in the Sun, followed by a few days in the attic before re-use.  

There is only one question that I can think of for you...

For each person who ends up on a respirator.... do they all have to be placed in a medically induced coma? or just some of them?
3 months ago

Nicole Alderman wrote:Wearing a mask is great if you can make it yourself. Please, please, PLEASE don't buy them from the store. I say this as someone who's husband works at the hospital. They don't have enough masks. If a patient is not confirmed as Covid-19 positive, he is not allowed to wear a mask. And with the positive patients, he is only allowed a paper mask, which he has to reuse on 5 patients before getting another one...and this is while he's bent over them while they're coughing and sick.

Masks are rationed that strongly, because there are so few at the hospital. It's scary how much he is likely spreading coronavirus because he doesn't have adequate protection. Please, save the masks for the medical professionals, so they can work on treating the patients, rather than spreading the virus.




They are pretty much doing the same thing up in Virginia right now. My wife said that the other day a nurse brought her own mask from home since the hospital didn't have any for the nurses. The managers promptly pulled her into their office and forced her to remove the mask. They said it was "Scaring patients" (customers).

She had a good hard panic cry after work that night.
3 months ago