Tom OHern wrote:What a long term energy crisis will cause it a return to small farms. The big mega farms will not be broken up by force, but due to the fact that one cannot farm more than about 10 acres without mechanized labor and that with out a constant supply of cheap oil, farmers who had 1000 acre farms will see the vast majority of their land going fallow. They will be forced to sell due to economic reasons in that they will not be able to afford paying taxes on the unproductive land.
Tom OHern wrote:I think we can look at Cuba as a good example of what will happen in the cities. They had an artificial energy crisis happen to them when the USSR collapsed. We saw that they had their city dwellers tearing up their lawns to grow food and lots of community farms started popping up. Farmers started becoming much more valuable. And I think people who move out of the cities now and start adapting land for non-mechanized farming before an energy crisis will be well positioned to take advantage of the situation as well as be a teacher to others who will follow.
yukkuri kame wrote:
I agree many will be forced to sell. But who is going to buy their land? Legions of poor urbanites fleeing the cities because they can't afford to eat? Or neo-fuedal landlords who will farm their land with armies of modern serfs?
yukkuri kame wrote:The Cuba example is a hopeful one, but that occurred in a socialist country where all resources were owned by the state, making the transition a relatively straightforward shift in policy. The US is well down the road to outright oligarchy. So far, rising resource prices have only increased the devastation caused by global finance capitalism, and the poor suffer inflation while the ultra-wealthy benefit from asset inflation and continue to consolidate their grasp on more and more of the world's resources. I lack confidence in the 'invisible hand' of the market to correct the imbalances, and even less confidence in US government to make wise policy.
By no means am I a 'doomer', but I believe it will be up to 'us' to design creative solutions to transition from a finance capitalist empire to a agrarian permatopia.
Wesley johnsen wrote:do you think we can have majority of people farming while not clearing any forests? and do you think farmers could still own like 20 to 150 acres of farmland if an agrarian economy were to come back? conservation easements prevent subdividing and to much development.